52%
23%
25%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
53
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings

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Probabilities computed by the G10 Model
G10 Model · g10-poisson-v1
League-calibrated attack/defense ratings + Poisson core + recent-form momentum adjustment. Original, auditable methodology.
Model updated on 19/10/2026, 21:55
52%
23%
25%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
53
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
25%
28%
47%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
53
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
68%
17%
15%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
45
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
74%
16%
10%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
39
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
58%
19%
23%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
51
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
62%
22%
16%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
51
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
76%
16%
8%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
44
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
51%
25%
24%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
43
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
29%
20%
51%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
53
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
33%
32%
35%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
40
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
63%
20%
17%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
48
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
44%
24%
32%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
51
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
39%
25%
36%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
44
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
68%
20%
12%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
43
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
4%
13%
83%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
62
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
51%
21%
28%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
42
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
72%
16%
12%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
57
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
47%
35%
18%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
47
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
61%
17%
22%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
55
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
94%
5%
1%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
44
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
40%
35%
25%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
46
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
60%
17%
23%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
57
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
48%
29%
23%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
37
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
11%
20%
69%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
44
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
55%
30%
15%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
67
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
28%
28%
44%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
38
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
76%
16%
8%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
46
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
28%
24%
48%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
40
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
58%
23%
19%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
50
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
24%
22%
54%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
60
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
51%
23%
26%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
51
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
52%
22%
26%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
77
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
24%
32%
44%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
66
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
26%
21%
53%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
43
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
62%
18%
20%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
37
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
90%
9%
1%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
37
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
86%
11%
3%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
40
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
9%
26%
65%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
75
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
17%
26%
57%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
42
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
72%
15%
13%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
52
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
89%
9%
2%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
59
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
22%
21%
57%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
33
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
31%
26%
43%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
59
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
87%
12%
1%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
58
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
20%
26%
54%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
64
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
73%
19%
8%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
65
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
16%
22%
62%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
50
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
25%
24%
51%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
52
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
6%
30%
64%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
80
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
42%
25%
33%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
48
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
37%
28%
35%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
48
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
66%
23%
11%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
65
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
48%
27%
25%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
46
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
14%
18%
68%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
47
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
44%
23%
33%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
53
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
52%
21%
27%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
48
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
95%
4%
1%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
57
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
55%
37%
8%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
50
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
33%
20%
47%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
82
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
29%
20%
51%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
55
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
29%
24%
47%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
56
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
43%
28%
29%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
32
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
8%
15%
77%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
77
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
30%
28%
42%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
60
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
69%
17%
14%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
44
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
50%
19%
31%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
44
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
32%
36%
32%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
71
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
14%
15%
71%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
56
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
42%
30%
28%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
60
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
26%
32%
42%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
35
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
9%
13%
78%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
59
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
21%
28%
51%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
50
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
76%
16%
8%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
48
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
65%
15%
20%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
50
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
47%
19%
34%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
42
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
9%
23%
68%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
49
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
27%
22%
51%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
90
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
8%
20%
72%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
53
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
52%
20%
28%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
45
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
21%
23%
56%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
42
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
18%
23%
59%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
44
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
41%
27%
32%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
73
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
9%
16%
75%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
59
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
26%
26%
48%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
72
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
75%
14%
11%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
82
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
72%
16%
12%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
65
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
36%
29%
35%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
83
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
80%
14%
6%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
43
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
43%
25%
32%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
44
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
65%
21%
14%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
67
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings